Publications

The analysis consists of an overview of stock and flow data on migrants, including such dimensions as age groups, gender, country of origin, education levels and length of residence. In the last decade, immigration has been increasing but, nevertheless, it still remains at a relatively low level in comparison to other EU countries.

In this paper we illustrate graphically the discrepancies between sending and receiving migration flow statistics provided to Eurostat by European countries. We find a reduction of the discrepancies between receiving and sending migration flow data after the implementation of regulations to improve the availability and comparability of migration data.

This country report focuses on critical analysis of migration and immigration data from Croatia. The analysis consists of an overview of stock and flow data on migrants including such dimensions as age groups, gender and the country of origin. For the moment, Croatia has one of the lowest immigrant/inhabitant ratio among EU member states.

The report is a first step in the analytical exercise which aims to determine migration movement potential both from and to the Czech Republic. This report aims to briefly present the historical background for migration movements in the Czech Republic, in order to provide a better understanding of current challenges Czech society faces with regard to increased migration movements in general and immigration in particular.

This report describes the methodology, implementation and results of a two-round Delphi survey looking at predictions made by a panel of experts focusing on migration-related: drivers, composition and policies for the EU in the next 10 years.

The case study reports are drawn up on the basis of a research carried out in four case studies namely: Iraq, Senegal, Tunisia and Ukraine between 2020 and 2021 and it is one of the outputs of the research project FUME.

This report provides an overview of existing theoretical and empirical findings regarding the drivers of international migration and how they operate differently across contexts, interacting with each other.

Scenario planning has been gaining popularity during the last decade as a tool for exploring how international migration flows might be affected by changing future circumstances. Using this technique, scholars have developed narratives that describe how flows might change depending on different developments in two of their most impactful and uncertain drivers. Current applications of […]

This article analyzes scenario planning and migration flows through a survey conducted among migration scholars. Scenario planning has been gaining popularity during the last decade as a tool for exploring how international migration flows might be affected by changing future circumstances. Using this technique, scholars have developed narratives that describe how flows might change depending […]

Migration potential from and to Estonia and necessary data input for fine-tuning of the FUME migration projection model. Estonia has a very selective and rather restrictive immigration policy, while the naturalization regulations are among the strictest ones in the EU.

The dataset contains a folder of data for each destination city as a gridded dataset at 100m resolution in GeoTIFF format. The examined destination cities are: Amsterdam, Copenhagen, Krakow and Rome.

International projection model includes dimensions of Age, Sex, Education and Country of Birth.

This article presents a simulation model developed by the Postdam Institute for Climate Impact Research that could help to project future migration patterns and assess the impacts of different socio-economic futures.

Over the past decades, international migration has become by far the most important force behind European population change. This working paper explores new ways to formulate migration scenarios.

Hungary, similarly to other Visegrad countries, is a relatively new immigration country. One of the key moments in its recent migration history is the accession to the European Union in 2004. The report briefly presents the historical context of migrations to and from Hungary in order to facilitate an understanding of the country’s current migration profile.

This policy brief synthesizes central results from quantitative migration and population projections on future migration flows to and within the EU and projects the population in EU member states at an unprecedented level of detail, including by age, sex, level of education, and country of origin, produced as part of the FUME project.

This article analyzes the impact of (un)happiness on the international migration decision.

This study contributes to research on new immigrant destinations in CEE by investigating the neighbourhood concentration of immigrants in Poland. The focus is on Kraków – the second largest city – for which we have built a unique register-based dataset containing geocoded individual level data. To our knowledge, it is the first high-quality dataset of […]

This research draws on qualitative interviews with experts and potential migrants in two cities in the Kurdistan Iraqi region and advocates for an understanding of migration decisions that account for socio-cultural and geographical and temporal perspectives.

Latvia, as other Baltic states shares some similar patterns of migration due to common history, including Russian and Soviet political dominance, political oppression during the communist times and settlement policies within the USSR. Nevertheless, its migration history resembles more Estonian than Lithuanian case.

The report includes Lithuania’s longer history and richer traditions of independence, which have an influence on more inclusive policies on immigration and citizenship than Estonia and Latvia.

A series of reports “Migration and demographic patterns in Central-Eastern Europe”, provides a comprehensive overview of migration and demographic patterns in Central and Eastern European (CEE) countries that are relatively recent member states of the European Union. As the term CEE is rather inclusive of incorporating all the new members of the EU who were […]

The report focuses on patterns of immigration and determinants of settlement patterns of foreigners in the past and possible futures of spatial allocation of this group in these European cities, which each have a different size of foreign population and a different history of migration.

This report provides a set of internally consistent and evidence-based qualitative migration scenario narratives. 

This report analyses the output for each migration scenario projected in the FUME project separately and compares different scenarios over time.

This work provides an example of combining Google Trends and official migration data to produce short-term forecasts, illustrated with flows from Romania to the UK.

In just 5 years, Poland has changed from an intensive labor-exporting country into one of the major destination countries for third-country nationals in the EU.

The report presents results of a pioneering survey on immigrants in EU CEE countries, using the Polish and Małopolska region as a case study. The survey was conducted in the period of October-December 2021. The final sample consists of almost 600 observations.

This article explores the impact of COVID-19 on international migration.

Romania has been among the largest emigration countries in southeastern Europe for the last couple of decades. Socio-economic and political transformation brought many challenges and led to a number of waves of Romanian emigrants who settled mainly in Western and Southern Europe, but also in the United States and Canada.

This report is drawn up on the basis of research carried out in Senegal between 2020 and 2021 and is one of the outputs of the FUME research project.

Slovakia, similarly to other Visegrad countries, is a relatively new immigration country. Some of the key moments in its recent migration history are: the accession to the European Union in 2004, joining the Schengen Area in 2007 and joining the Eurozone in 2009, as the only country of the region.

Slovenia is a post-communist country with a long history of emigration and relatively new waves of immigration from both within and outside of Europe. Before the declaration of independence from Yugoslavia in 1991, the country’s migration trends greatly resembled those of other Southern and South-European states.

This paper describes a spatial disaggregation method based on self-training regression models. We report on experiments for two case studies, using high-resolution data  for the municipality of Amsterdam and the region of Greater Copenhagen. Accurate and consistent estimations on the present and future population distribution, at fine spatial resolution, are fundamental to support a variety […]

This conference paper presents how spatially explicit projections generated by using the machine learning method could be utilised in urban planning.

The main objective of this report is to present the decision-making practices that drive potential migrants to leave the areas of origin as well as to settle in or move forward from Sousse city.

The aim of the report is to present the context for understanding the complexities of migration processes in Ukraine from the point of view of historical processes and then migrants’ decision-making to move internally or internationally or to stay.

The storymap visualizes migration to Europe under different scenarios at different geographic levels moving from the global to European to national and finally to the city level.

Understanding the drivers of migration, and people’s motivation to migrate is a precondition for making projections of future migration patterns.